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UOB MAYBANK

Kimly (KMLY SP)

Operationally Resilient; Maintain BUY On Share Price Pullback

 

Since its IPO in March, share price has retreated nearly 30% from ytd peak. The stock is now trading at an 11% discount to consumer peers’ FY18F PE. With a strong cash balance of S$83.7m (20% of market cap), potential M&As could be a compelling catalyst for earnings growth for FY18-19. Kimly remains operationally resilient, and we expect continued organic expansion through the opening of new outlets. Maintain BUY with a lower DCF-based target price of S$0.45 (previously S$0.46).

 

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GuocoLand (GUOL SP)

Accumulate on Weakness

 

Falling share price at odds with stronger data points

GuocoLand’s share price fell 12% over the past month, underperforming the Developer Index (FSTREH), which fell by a smaller 4%. This is at odds with stronger data points that have emerged: [1] Stronger-than-expected pace of sales at Martin Modern, [2] Strong land bid for Jiak Kim site and [3] Wallich Residence hit SGD4,000 psf. We fine-tune sales and raise ASP assumptions for Martin Modern and Wallich Residence by SGD100-150 psf. We lift TP to SGD2.95 (from SGD2.90), based on a 20% discount to its revised RNAV of SGD3.68. Stock is attractively priced at 43% RNAV discount. Maintain BUY. Risks from a sharp fall in property prices.

 

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OCBC

Roxy-Pacific Holdings: Upgrade to BUY

 


Roxy-Pacific announced that it will acquire for A$33.0m a six-storey commercial and retail building, known as Melbourne House, in Melbourne’s CBD. We understand that it is in a mixed-use zone, where commercial retail, hotel and residential uses may be accommodated, and Roxy intends to redevelop the property to a mixed use development comprising hotel and retail units. In Singapore, we see Roxy to be well positioned to benefit from a turnaround in the domestic property market. The group has a landbank that can potentially generate over 400 homes in seven sites, with approximately 271k of GFA, including Dunearn Court that was recently acquired for S$36.3m through a collective sale. Our valuation model is updated with these latest acquisitions and firmer residential sales and ASP assumptions, and our fair value estimate increases to S$0.60 from S$0.52 previously. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY.


LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices




Share Prices

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings0.730-
Alliance Mineral0.250-
AusGroup0.0420.001
Avi-Tech Electronics0.340-0.010
Best World Int.1.3900.040
China Sunsine1.010-
DISA Limited0.008-
Dutech Holdings0.250-
Federal Int. (2000)0.270-
Food Empire0.560-0.010
Geo Energy0.230-
Golden Energy0.255-
GSS Energy0.126-0.001
Heeton Holdings0.515-
ISOTeam0.2800.005
KSH Holdings0.555-
Lian Beng Group0.5100.005
Miyoshi0.054-0.001
Nordic Group0.460-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.330-
REX International0.1100.002
Riverstone1.160-0.010
Roxy-Pacific0.395-0.005
Serial System0.145-0.004
Sing Holdings0.3900.005
Sino Grandness0.2000.003
Straco Corp.0.735-
Sunningdale Tech1.3600.010
Sunpower Group0.565-
The Trendlines0.1100.002
Tiong Seng0.3150.005
Trek 2000 Int.0.095-
Uni-Asia Group1.300-
XMH Holdings0.220-
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.1600.030

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